Interest Rates to Stay Low for “Extended Period”

The Federal Open Market Committee met today and decided to keep the Federal Funds Rate between 0% and 0.25%. Below is a quote from a very good analysis on Businessweek:

The FOMC stuck to its target range for the federal funds rate at 0% to 0.25%, and signaled that rates are likely to remain at exceptionally low levels “for an extended period.” This reference stopped short of giving a timeline of 18 to 24 months for the current policy, as anticipated by some market participants.

So, money will remain cheap for the immediate term. This doesn’t necessarily affect mortgage rates but the heavy government involvement in the mortgage market ensures that mortgage rates will continue to remain low as well.

Sign of the Times: Divorce Rate Drops

Marketwatch had an interesting story on how divorce rates have fallen during this economic recession. The article appeared this weekend and quotes a Phoenix area family law attorney Bonnie Booden:

Hitched to the economy
Divorce rates drop as couples realize it’s cheaper to stay together
By Marty Orgel

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — The recession and economic turmoil is creating a new class of casualties: Married couples who can’t afford to get divorced. In these tough times many people are finding it’s cheaper to stay together, even when they can’t stand each other.

“The reason that the economy has such an enormous impact on divorce is that most people in the middle-income brackets are getting by on whatever income they have. They’re just getting by,” said Bonnie Booden, a family law and divorce attorney in Phoenix.

A major factor in the divorce downturn, Booden said, is divorced couples have to establish two separate households with current funds — a prohibitive factor when you’re looking at divorce in tough economic times.

Booden said one out of every two clients is seeking consultations because they can’t afford to get divorced. They want to know what other options they might have.

“I tell them about the process, about the cost, and what a reasonable outcome might be. And once they hear the cost, and especially how you have to duplicate two households on the same money that currently funds one household, they try to think about some other options,” she said.

Who knows maybe something good will come out, as couples stick “around” and weather the storm together.

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Fed Funds Rate is at Zero, Prime at 3 Percent

Historical chart of the U.S. federal funds rate.
Image via Wikipedia

Amazing. The Fed cut the target federal funds rate to between 0% and 0.25%. This is a significant event in many ways. Rates can not go further down. Which means the only leverage left for the Feds to influence US Monetary Policy will be through their balance sheets (buying/selling assets etc.).

Below is a snapshot of the Fed announcement. The complete statement from the Federal Open Markets Committee is available on Bloomberg.

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to establish a target range for the federal funds rate of 0 to 1/4 percent.

Since the Committee’s last meeting, labor market conditions have deteriorated, and the available data indicate that consumer spending, business investment, and industrial production have declined. Financial markets remain quite strained and credit conditions tight. Overall, the outlook for economic activity has weakened further.

Meanwhile, inflationary pressures have diminished appreciably. In light of the declines in the prices of energy and other commodities and the weaker prospects for economic activity, the Committee expects inflation to moderate further in coming quarters.

The Federal Reserve will employ all available tools to promote the resumption of sustainable economic growth and to preserve price stability. In particular, the Committee anticipates that weak economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for some time.

Read full statement.

Remember though that the federal funds rate is not the same as your home mortage interest rate. In fact at times they can go in opposite directions.

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